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War With Iraq - The Real Winner

By F. L. Blanchard

While the United States and the world are preoccupied with Sadaam Hussein and Kim Jung Il, the Israelis continue their methodical and never ending persecution of the Palestinians.  Of all the allies who have spoken in support of our efforts to oust the Iraqi leader, Israel has been most silent.  They have however quietly, sought material aid to defend themselves in the pending war, but not to actively support the effort.  This silence speaks volumes about Israel’s present and future motives.

For the present, our preoccupation with Iraq and our concern over the nuclear program of North Korea has allowed the endemic and systematic arrest and elimination of Palestinian activists and their supporters.  As with Iraq, this is in continuing and deliberate violation of United Nations resolutions and the Geneva Conventions.  Given its true intent, it must be given its proper identification, namely the Palestinian Holocaust.  Given that war is imminent and will likely not last but a few months, if that, and a year before the dust settles, Israel has but a short time before the shadow is lifted and their genocide is again exposed.  But, the shrewd Israelis are looking to the long term and the defeat of Iraq fits nicely into their plans for expansion.  Given the complicit and pliable U. S. administration, whether Republican or Democrat, Israel is assured of continued support in Washington.

The defeat of Iraq removes a dangerous threat to Israel and U. S. occupation of Iraq provides the solution to its Palestinian problem and the obstacle to its further expansion.  Jordan presents an obstacle to this plan, but given a desire for Middle East peace what is another little country.  Under the hegemony of the U. S. and hence the influence of Israel, Jordan, and perhaps a piece of western Iraq, could become the Palestinian homeland.  The solution would be a compromise and sweetening the outcome for all parties is that other commodity Iraq possesses besides oil, that is water.

More than oil, Israel needs water to grow and expand.  The Tigris and Euphrates rivers provide a steady and reliable supply.  A pipeline to divert a portion of the flow would constitute a feasible and quickly executed project.  The reclamation of a portion of the Syrian Desert would also enhance the potential for the relocation of Israel’s Palestinian population.  The latter is the biggest stumbling block to any Israeli concessions, if they were ever going to make any.  In our strong desire for peace not only could the United States be talked into such a scheme, but also we would probably be first in line to pay for it.

This may be a far-fetched and contrived analysis, but if one thinks long term, isn’t it the kind of outcome the Israelis want to achieve.  There are still considerations of the fate of Jerusalem and whether Palestine becomes a state or is absorbed into Jordan.  This area has been in turmoil for centuries, mostly because outsiders have imposed its structure.  Perhaps we could have avoided the problem if we had heeded the advice given in the King-Crane report after World War I.

Courtesy of and © 2003 by F. L.  Blanchard, Ph.D.  Dr. Blanchard lived and worked in the Middle East and was a A 20 year resident of Iraq, Iran and Saudi Arabia. 

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February 25, 2003

© 2002 Prepared by HBL - All Rights Reserved

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